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The Doomsday Argument and the Simulation Argument
Doomsday argument simulation argument self-location centered credence
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2016/6/14
The Doomsday Argument and the Simulation Argument share certain structural features, and hence are often discussed together (Bostrom 2003, Aranyosi 2004, Richmond 2008, Bostrom and Kulczycki 2011). Bo...
The Doomsday Argument in Many Worlds
doomsday argument many worlds multiverse
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2016/5/30
You and I are highly unlikely to exist in a civilization that has produced only 70 billion people, yet we find ourselves in just such a civilization. Our circumstance, which seems difficult to explain...
The Doomsday Simulation Argument.Or why isn't the end nigh,and you're not living in a simulation
doomsday simulation induction probability extinction matrix skepticism
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2015/7/30
According to the Carter-Leslie Doomsday Argument, we should assign a high probability to the hypothesis that the human species will go extinct very soon. The argument is based on the application of Ba...
A note on the Doomsday Argument
Doomsday Argument Sleeping Beauty confirmation self-location
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2009/9/16
I argue that the Doomsday argument fails because it fails to take into account the lesson of the Sleeping Beauty puzzle.
A note on the Doomsday Argument
Doomsday Argument Sleeping Beauty confirmation self-location
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2009/7/16
I argue that the Doomsday argument fails because it fails to take into account the lesson of the Sleeping Beauty puzzle.
The Doomsday Argument and Hempel's Problem
Hempel's problem Doomsday Argument contraposition
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2008/4/21
In this paper, I present firstly a solution to Hempel's Problem. I recall secondly the solution to the Doomsday Argument described in my previous Une Solution pour l'Argument de l'Apocalypse (Canadian...
The Doomsday Argument Without Knowledge of Birth Rank
Doomsday argument anthropic reasoning observational selection effects
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2008/4/21
The Carter-Leslie Doomsday argument, as standardly presented, relies on the assumption that you have knowledge of your approximate birth rank. I demonstrate that the Doomsday argument can still be giv...
The Doomsday Simulation Argument. Or why isn't the end nigh and you're not living in a simulation.
doomsday simulation induction skepticism
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2008/4/21
According to the Carter-Leslie Doomsday Argument, we should assign a high probability to the hypothesis that the human species will go extinct very soon. The argument is based on the application of Ba...
Gott's Doomsday Argument
Doomsday argument Copernican principle
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2008/4/14
Physicist J. Richard Gott uses the Copernican principle that “we are not special” to make predictions about the future lifetime of the human race, based on how long the human race has been in existenc...
A Third Route to the Doomsday Argument
Doomsday argument indeterminism
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2008/4/9
In this paper, I present a solution to the Doomsday argument based on a third type of solution, by contrast to on the one hand, the Carter-Leslie view and on the other hand, the Eckhardt et al. analys...