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In Nozick’s rendition of the decision situation given in Newcomb’s Paradox dominance and the principle of maximum expected utility recommend different strategies. While evidential decision theory (EDT...
Prediction Games     signaling  game theory  prediction       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2016/6/12
We consider an extension of signaling games to the case of prediction, where one agent (‘sender’) perceives the current state of the world and sends a signal. The second agent (‘receiver’) perceives t...
Prediction and typicality in multiverse cosmology     Typicality  anthropic principle  multiverse cosmology  dark matter       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2016/6/12
In the absence of a fundamental theory that precisely predicts values for observable parameters, anthropic reasoning attempts to constrain probability distributions over those parameters in order to f...
Prediction in Selectionist Evolutionary Theory     Prediction  Evolutionary Theory  Explanatory Unification  Fitting       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2009/9/8
Selectionist evolutionary theory has often been faulted for not making novel predictions that are surprising, risky, and correct. I argue that it in fact exhibits the theoretical virtue of predictive ...
In this paper I present a game-theoretical approach to the problem of induction. I investigate the comparative success of prediction methods by mathematical analysis and computer programming. Hume's p...
In this paper we address two problems in Boltzmann's approach to statistical mechanics. The first is the justification of the probabilistic predictions of the theory. And the second is the inadequacy ...
Scientific Representation, Smilarity and Prediction     Representation   models   similarity       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2008/4/22
In this paper, I consider how different versions of the similarity account of scientific representation might apply to a simple case of scientific representation, in which a model is used to predict t...
Is Prediction Possible in General Relativity?      prediction  determinism  epistemology        font style='font-size:12px;'> 2008/4/15
Here we briefly review the concept of "prediction" within the context of classical relativity theory. We prove a theorem asserting that one may predict one's own future only in a closed universe. We t...

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