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Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics     Finance  Macroeconomics       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2015/7/23
From a macroeconomic perspective, the shortterm interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank, which adjusts the rate to achieve its economic stabilzation goals. ...
Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volatil...
A new standpoint on financial time series, without the use of any mathematical model and of probabilistic tools, yields not only a rigorous approach of trends and volatility, but also efficient calcul...
Understanding the dynamics of spot interest rates is important for derivatives pricing, risk management, interest rate liberalization, and macroeconomic control. Based on a daily data of Chinese 7-da...
The Impossible Trio in CDO Modeling     The Impossible Trio  CDO Modeling       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2011/1/4
We show that stochastic recovery always leads to counter-intuitive behaviors in the risk measures of a CDO tranche - namely, continuity on default and positive credit spread risk cannot be ensured sim...
Modeling share prices of banks and bankrupts     share price  modeling  CPI  prediction  the USA  bankruptcy       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2010/10/19
Share prices of financial companies from the S&P 500 list have been modeled by a linear function of consumer price indices in the USA. The Johansen and Engle-Granger tests for cointegration both demo...
We develop a generalization of the Black-Cox structural model of default risk. The extended model captures uncertainty related to firm's ability to avoid default even if company's liabilities momentar...
Jump-diffusion modeling in emission markets     Jump-diffusion modeling  emission markets       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2010/10/18
Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emi...
A Guide to Modeling Credit Term Structures      Modeling Credit  Term Structures        font style='font-size:12px;'> 2010/11/3
We give a comprehensive review of credit term structure modeling methodologies. The conventional approach to modeling credit term struc-ture is summarized and shown to be equivalent to a particular ty...
Motivated by the interplay between structural and reduced form credit models, we propose to model the firm value process as a time-changed Brownian motion that may include jumps and stochastic volat...
A Simplified Approach to modeling the credit-risk of CMO      implified  credit-risk of CMO        font style='font-size:12px;'> 2010/10/29
The credit crisis of 2007 and 2008 has thrown much focus on the models used to price mortgage backed securities. Many institutions have relied heavily on the credit ratings provided by credit agency...
The Problem of Modeling of Economic Dynamics      Problem of Modeling  Economic Dynamics        font style='font-size:12px;'> 2010/10/29
The correctness of Harrod’s model in the differential form is studied. The inadequacy of exponential growth of economy is shown; an alternative result is obtained. By example of Phillips’ model, an ap...
We provide an axiomatic foundation for the representation of num´eraire-invariant pref- erences of economic agents acting in a financial market. In a static environment, the simple axioms turn ...
In this article, we review the construction and properties of some popular approaches to modeling LIBOR rates. We discuss the fol-lowing frameworks: classical LIBOR market models, forward price mod-el...
A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several nat...

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