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Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
prediction markets forecasting
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2012/10/23
Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapt...
How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies
prediction markets event studies political economy
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2012/10/31
This review paper articulates the relationship between prediction market data and event studies, with a special focus on applications in political economy. Event studies have been used to address a va...