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Simple smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy
Smoothed seismicity Earthquake predictability Forecast optimization Area skill score
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2015/8/28
Several earthquake forecast experiments in Italy have been initiated within the European testing center of the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability. In preparation for these...
HAZGRIDX: earthquake forecasting model for ML≥ 5.0 earthquakes in Italy based on spatially smoothed seismicity
earthquakes Italy
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2015/8/28
We present a five-year, time-independent, earthquake-forecast model for earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and greater in Italy using spatially smoothed seismicity data. The model is called HAZGRIDX, and it...
Adaptively smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy
Italy smoothed seismicity earthquake
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2015/8/28
We present a model for estimation of the probabilities of future earthquakes of magnitudes m ≥ 4.95 in Italy. This model is a modified version of that proposed for California, USA, by Helmstetter et a...