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The ETAS model for daily forecasting of Italian seismicity in the CSEP experiment
Italian seismicity CSEP experiment
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2015/8/28
This study investigates the basic properties of the recent shallow seismicity in Italy, through stochastic modeling and statistical methods. Assuming that earthquakes are the realization of a stochast...
Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast
spatio-temporal physical model considering time-dependency
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2015/8/28
We apply here a forecasting model to the Italian region for the spatio-temporal distribution of seismicity based on a smoothing Kernel function, Coulomb stress variations, and a rate-and-state frictio...
A double-branching model applied to long-term forecasting of Italian seismicity (ML≥5.0) within the CSEP project
Earthquake interactions Forecasting
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2015/8/28
The purpose of this study was to apply a double-branching model to forecasting of moderate-to-large Italian seismicity within the Collaboratory Study for Earthquake Predictability project. This projec...
Investigating the spatial variability of the time-scaling properties in Italian seismicity
spatial variability time-scaling properties Italian seismicity
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2009/11/11
Significant power-law long-range correlated structures have been identified in the Italian seismicity from 1983 to 2003. We performed the Allan Factor Analysis and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis o...