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On a conjectured sharpness principle for probabilistic forecasting with calibration
sharpness principle probabilistic forecasting calibration
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2010/3/18
This note proves a weak type of the sharpness principle as conjectured
by Gneiting, Balabdaoui, and Raftery [9] in connection with probabilistic
forecasting subject to calibration constraints. A str...
Probabilistic forecasting of shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides using real-time numerical weather predictions
Probabilistic forecasting shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides real-time numerical weather predictions
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2009/12/30
Global weather forecasts from the United Kingdom Met Office (MO) Numerical Weather Prediction model (NWP) are coupled with a regional data assimilating NWP model (New Zealand Limited Area Model, NZLAM...
Precipitation rate spectra as dependent on dynamic forcing:application to probabilistic forecasting
Precipitation rate spectra dynamic forcing pplication probabilistic forecasting
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2010/1/26
Occurrence frequencies, OF, of 12-h precipitation amounts, P, at stations in the former European USSR are displayed as dependent on dynamic forcing of vertical motions. The dynamic forcing is describe...