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Floods have become increasingly alarming worldwide. Flood risk management in terms of assessing disaster risk properly is a great challenge that society faces today. Natural disaster risk analysis is ...
传统供应链研究以假设双方为风险中性为主,但实践中不同管理者对风险有不同需求.以嵌入式期权为基础,应用条件风险值(Conditional Value at Risk, CVaR)的方法反映风险偏好,构建随机需求下的单个零售商和单个供应商组成的两级供应链期权契约模型,分析推导出零售商的最优期权购买量,反映了零售商的风险偏好对买入期权的最优购买量和收益都有重要影响.风险规避程度越高,购买量和收益就越小....
The production and storage of dangerous substances in an industrial establishment creates risks for man,environment and properties in the surrounding area. Safety regulations require the establishment...
Variability and small lot size is a common feature for many discrete manufacturing processes designed to meet a wide array of customer needs. Because of this, job shop schedule often has to be continu...
基于多米诺效应的定量风险评价研究     多米诺效应  定量风险评价  阈值距离  事故情景       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2012/7/19
多米诺效应是引发化工重大事故的主要原因之一。本文综合国内外的研究成果,对火灾热辐射、冲击波超压等造成的多米诺效应进行了深入分析,建立基于多米诺效应的定量风险评价模型,其中包括了评价流程、传播概率、阈值距离计算、多米诺效应对事故频率的影响及后果分析的内容。最后利用Matlab7.1计算平台,以汽油储罐进行实例分析,结果表明该方法是一种适用于多米诺效应定量评价的良好方法,能够比较科学、有效的对危险单元...
It is well known that the safety of large process control systems could be significantly affected by the communication characteristics of crews that have a responsibility for their operations. Accordi...
The safety chain: A delusive concept     Safety chain  Risk management  Layers of protection  Disaster preparedness       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2012/3/26
Various governments have defined a so-called safety chain to structure their efforts in the field of risk management for low-probability disasters. The safety chain typically consists of the following...
Ethics are concerned with distinguishing between what actions are “right” and “wrong” and what values are “good” and “bad”, etc. and there is a long academic tradition in discussing ethics and ethical...
Accident investigation is the collection and examination of facts related to an occurred specific incident. Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) is the systematic use of available information to identify ...
In the context of risk analysis under uncertainty, we focus here on the problem of estimating a so-called quantity of interest of an uncertainty analysis problem, i.e. a given feature of the probabili...
The objective of this paper is to describe a procedure to obtain maintainability indicators for industrial devices. This analysis can be helpful, among other cases, to compare systems, to achieve a be...
This study presents an assessment model that examines quantity and quality factors for equipment risk management in the petrochemical industry. The proposed model has five dimensions—financial perform...
The durability of concrete is determined largely by its deterioration over time which is affected by the environment. Climate change may alter this environment, especially in the longer term, causing ...
风险投资,又称创业投资,在发达国家兴起已有几十年的历史了,现在已经成为一个具有鲜明特点的金融投资产业——风险投资业。据美国风险投资协会(NVCA)的研究,风险投资对经济的贡献,其投入产出比是1:11的关系。自20世纪70年代以来,风险投资的风险资本总量,只占整个社会投资总量不到1%的比例,凡是接受过风险投资而至今还存活的企业,产出占国民生产总值的比例高达11.9/6。据哈佛大学勒纳教授的研究,风险...
Isolation valves facilitate the effective operation and maintenance of water supply networks, but their sheer number presents a significant asset management challenge. If left unmanaged, valve reliabi...

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