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Earthquake forecast models for Italy based on the RI algorithm
Earthquake interactions and probability Seismic risk Data processing Statistical analysis Seismological data
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2015/8/28
This study provides an overview of relative-intensity (RI)-based earthquake forecast models that have been submitted for the 5-year and 10-year testing classes and the 3-month class of the Italian exp...
Short-term and long-term earthquake occurrence models for Italy: ETES, ERS and LTST
Italy earthquake occurrence models
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2015/8/28
This study describes three earthquake occurrence models as applied to the whole Italian territory, to assess the occurrence probabilities of future (M ≥5.0) earthquakes: two as short-term (24 hour) mo...
Asperity-based earthquake likelihood models for Italy
Statistical seismology Seismotectonics Seismic hazard
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2015/8/28
The Asperity Likelihood Model (ALM) hypothesizes that small-scale spatial variations in the b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter relationship have a central role in forecasting future seismicity. The phys...
Setting up an earthquake forecast experiment in Italy
Italy earthquake forecast experiment
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2015/8/28
We describe here the setting up of the first earthquake forecasting experiment for Italy within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The CSEP conducts rigorous and actu...
Retrospective evaluation of the five-year and ten-year CSEP-Italy earthquake forecasts
Probabilistic forecasting Earthquake predictability Hypothesis testing Likelihood
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2015/8/28
On August 1, 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy. The goal of this CSE...
LASSCI2009.2: layered earthquake rupture forecast model for central Italy, submitted to the CSEP project
Earthquake rupture forecast Central Italy Model validation Time-dependent seismic hazard assessment
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2015/8/28
The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) selected Italy as a testing region for probabilistic earthquake forecast models in October, 2008. The model we have submitted for th...
Trade-off between seismic source detail and crustal heterogeneities in spherical 3D finite element modeling: a 2004 Sumatra earthquake case study
finite element method 3D modeling static deformation
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2015/8/27
Finite-element methods are a powerful numerical simulation tool for modeling seismic events, as they allow three-dimensional complex models to be solved. We used a three-dimensional finite-element app...
Effects of the India–Pakistan border earthquake on the atmospherics at 6 kHz and 9 kHz recorded at Tripura
Seismology Earthquake Seismo-electromagnetism
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2015/8/27
The unusual variations observed in the records of the integrated field intensity of the atmospherics (IFIA) at 6 kHz and 9 kHz at Agartala, Tripura, in the north-eastern state of India (latitude, 23&#...
Faulting mechanism of the Campania–Lucania 1980 earthquake, Italy, from high-resolution, 3D velocity structure, aftershock relocation, fault-plane solutions, and post-seismic deformation modeling
Campania-Lucania 1980 earthquake analyses of the post-seismic data
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2015/8/27
This study performs a detailed reconstruction of the rupture mechanism of the 1980 Campania–Lucania (southern Italy) earthquake. This is achieved by relocation of the main event through computation of...
Potential reasons for ionospheric anomalies detected by nonlinear principal component analysis just before the China Wenchuan earthquake, and their relationship to source conditions
Nonlinear Principal Component Analysis (NLPCA) Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Total Electron Content (TEC),
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2015/8/27
Nonlinear principal component analysis (NLPCA) was performed to examine the total electron content (TEC) anomalies for the China Wenchuan earthquake of May 12, 2008 (= 7.9). This was applied to global...
Flash sourcing, or rapid detection and characterization of earthquake effects through website traffic analysis
Monitoring Seismic risk Algorithms and implementation
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2015/8/27
This study presents the latest developments of an approach called ‘flash sourcing’, which provides information on the effects of an earthquake within minutes of its occurrence. Information is derived ...
Twitter earthquake detection: earthquake monitoring in a social world
Earthquake monitoring Instruments and techniques Data processing
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2015/8/27
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is investigating how the social networking site Twitter, a popular service for sending and receiving short, public text messages, can augment USGS earthquake response...
Crowdsourcing earthquake damage assessment using remote sensing imagery
Surveys measurements and monitoring Instruments and techniques
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2015/8/27
This paper describes the evolution of recent work on using crowdsourced analysis of remote sensing imagery, particularly high-resolution aerial imagery, to provide rapid, reliable assessments of damag...
Using Internet reports for early estimates of the final death toll of earthquake-generated tsunami: the March 11, 2011, Tohoku, Japan, earthquake
Casualties Earthquake-generated tsunami 2011 Tohoku earthquake
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2015/8/27
A retrospective case study was conducted for the March 11, 2011, earthquake that occurred off the east Pacific coast of Tohoku, Japan, with reference to the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake and Indian Ocean...
On the use of the Internet to collect earthquake information
Internet earthquake information
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2015/8/27
As geophysicists, we find it difficult to imagine our daily professional and personal lives without the Internet. Emails have been the mainstay of scientific communication since the 1980’s and website...