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The Effects of Prediction Market Design and Price Elasticity on Trading Performance of Users: An Experimental Analysis
Prediction market market design market making price elasticity idea evaluation
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2012/4/28
We employ a 2x3 factorial experiment to study two central factors in the design of prediction markets (PMs) for idea evaluation: the overall design of the PM, and the elasticity of market prices set b...
Comparing Prediction Market Structures, With an Application to Market Making
Market Structures Application Market Making
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2010/10/21
Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but the...
A Prediction Market for Toxic Assets Prices
Prediction Market Toxic Assets Prices
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2010/11/1
We propose the development of a prediction market for forecasting prices for “toxic assets” to be transferred from Irish banks to the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA). Such a market allows mark...