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Quarterly and monthly data on U.S. personal consumption expenditures show a severe decline in consumer spending around the time of the financial panic in the fall of 2008. This decline substantially...
Existing research on liquidity provision during National Banking Era (1863-1913) financial crises examines aggregate issuance of clearinghouse loan certificates by the New York Clearinghouse. We emplo...
Predicting economic market crises using measures of collective panic     Predicting panic  notably  nervousness       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2011/3/23
Predicting panic is of critical importance in many areas of human and animal behavior, notably in the context of economics. The recent financial crisis is a case in point. Panic may be due to a specif...
We study properties of the cross-sectional distribution of returns.A significant anti-correlation between dispersion and cross-sectional kurtosis is found such that dispersion is high but kurtosis is ...

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