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We present new tests of three theories of the labor market: intertemporal substitution, hours restrictions, and implicit contracts. The intertemporal substitution test we implement is an exclusion tes...
We investigate the separate effects of a training program on the duration of participants' subsequent employment and unemployment spells. This program randomly assigned volunteers to treatment and con...
This paper first investigates the sensitivity of estimates of duration models to the specification of duration dependence. Using data from an experiment involving disadvantaged women in the U.S., we f...
Panel surveys generally suffer from “seam bias” - too few transitions observed within reference periods and too many reported between interviews. Seam bias is likely to affect duration models severely...
This paper offers some new directions in the analysis of nonparamertric models with exogenous treatment assignment. The nonparametric approach opens the door to the examination of potentially differen...
This paper proposes a parametric approach to estimating a dynamic binary response panel data model that allows for endogenous contemporaneous regressors. Such a model is of particular value for settin...
A simple graphical approach to presenting results from nonlinear regression models is described. In the face of multiple covariates, 'partial mean' plots may be unattractive. The approach here is port...
This paper compares two different ways of doing policy evaluation: on the one hand, quasi-experimental methods (or "ex-post" evaluations) which exploit the introduction of a reform and identify its ef...
This paper presents for the first time the properties of optimal piecewise linear tax systems for two-earner households, based on joint and individual incomes respectively. A key contribution is the a...
We propose a novel selectivity correction procedure to deal with survey attrition, at the crossroads of the "Heckit" and of the bounding approach of Lee (2009). As a substitute for the instrument need...
Decomposing Excess Returns in Stochastic Linear Models     excess returns  minimum wage  decomposition  event study       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2012/10/18
We present a theorem helpful in estimating the mean and variance of a linear function with arbitrary multivariate randomness in its coefficients and variables. We derive a generalized decomposition re...
Semiparametric Selection Models with Binary Outcomes     sample selection  binary outcomes  marginal effects  semiparametric       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2012/10/23
This paper addresses the estimation of a semiparametric sample selection index model where both the selection rule and the outcome variable are binary. Since the marginal effects are often of primary ...
Shared-frailty survival models specify that systematic unobserved determinants of duration outcomes are identical within groups of individuals. We consider random-effects likelihood-based statistical ...
We study the non-parametric identification of a mixed proportional hazard model with lagged duration dependence when data provide multiple outcomes per individual or stratum. We show that the informat...
Building on the right-to-manage model of collective bargaining, this paper tries to infer union power from the observed results in wage setting. It derives a time-varying indicator of union strength a...

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