搜索结果: 1-15 共查到“地震学 Forecasting”相关记录15条 . 查询时间(0.109 秒)
Geoscientists develop technology to improve forecasting of earthquakes,tsunamis（图）
Geoscientists technology improve forecasting earthquakes,tsunamis
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2019/12/6
With funding from NSF, geoscientists at the University of South Florida have successfully developed and tested a new high-tech shallow water buoy that can detect the small movements and changes in the...
Earthquake forecasting in Italy,before and after Umbria-Marche seismic sequence 1997.A review of the earthquake occurrence modeling at different spatio-temporal-magnitude scales
earthquake forecasting
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2015/9/1
The main goal of this work is to review the scientific researches carried out before and after the Umbria-Marche sequence related to the earthquake forecasting/prediction in Italy. In particular, I fo...
The effects of zoning methods on forecasting of the next earthquake occurrences, according to semi-Markov models
Semi-Markov model Transition probability matrix Probabilistic forecasting Deterministic forecasting Forecasting error K94 zoning
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2015/8/28
Earthquakes are natural phenomena that can be viewed in three dimensions: time, space and magnitude. Earthquakes can be investigated not only physically, but also mathematically. In this study, semi-M...
The ETAS model for daily forecasting of Italian seismicity in the CSEP experiment
Italian seismicity CSEP experiment
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2015/8/28
This study investigates the basic properties of the recent shallow seismicity in Italy, through stochastic modeling and statistical methods. Assuming that earthquakes are the realization of a stochast...
Forecasting Italian seismicity through a spatio-temporal physical model: importance of considering time-dependency and reliability of the forecast
spatio-temporal physical model considering time-dependency
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2015/8/28
We apply here a forecasting model to the Italian region for the spatio-temporal distribution of seismicity based on a smoothing Kernel function, Coulomb stress variations, and a rate-and-state frictio...
HAZGRIDX: earthquake forecasting model for ML≥ 5.0 earthquakes in Italy based on spatially smoothed seismicity
earthquakes Italy
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2015/8/28
We present a five-year, time-independent, earthquake-forecast model for earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and greater in Italy using spatially smoothed seismicity data. The model is called HAZGRIDX, and it...
A double-branching model applied to long-term forecasting of Italian seismicity (ML≥5.0) within the CSEP project
Earthquake interactions Forecasting
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2015/8/28
The purpose of this study was to apply a double-branching model to forecasting of moderate-to-large Italian seismicity within the Collaboratory Study for Earthquake Predictability project. This projec...
Comment on the report "Operational Earthquake Forecasting" by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection
Comment Critical-systems Earthquake forecasting ICEF Report Operational earthquake forecasting Shear-wave splitting Stress-forecasting
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2015/8/24
The recently published report Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF...
Experimental studies of anomalous radon activity in the Tlamacas Mountain, Popocatepetl Volcano area, México: new tools to study lithosphere-atmosphere coupling for forecasting volcanic and seismic events
atmosphere electricity Litosphere-Atmosphere coupling
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2015/8/24
This study presents and discusses the results of soil radon monitoring at three different volcano sites and one reference site, from December 2007 to January 2009. This relates to the activity of the ...
A Forecasting Procedure for Plate Boundary Earthquakes Based on Sequential Data Assimilation
Plate Boundary Earthquakes Sequential Data Assimilation
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2015/7/17
A forecasting procedure is proposed for plate boundary earthquakes in subduction zones. It is based on spatio-temporal variation in slip velocity on the plate interface, which causes interplate earthq...
Short-term earthquake forecasting experiment before and during the L’Aquila (central Italy) seismic sequence of April 2009
L’Aquila earthquake ETAS model PPE model Probability forecast
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2015/8/18
In this paper, we compare the forecasting performance of several statistical models, which are used to describe the occurrence process of earthquakes in forecasting the short-term earthquake probabili...
Forecasting volcanic eruptions and other material failure phenomena: An evaluation of the failure forecast method
Forecasting volcanic eruptions other material failure phenomena failure forecast method
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2014/5/19
Power‐law accelerations in the mean rate of strain,earthquakes and other precursors have been widely reported prior to material failure phenomena, including volcanic eruptions, landslides and laborato...
Challenges for forecasting based on accelerating rates of earthquakes at volcanoes and laboratory analogues
Time series analysis Creep and deformation Volcano seismology Statistical seismology
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2014/5/19
‘Mean-field’ models have been proposed as falsifiable hypotheses for the acceleration in earthquake rate and other geophysical parameters prior to laboratory rock failure and volcanic eruptions. Impor...
Forecasting characteristic earthquakes in a minimalist model
characteristic earthquakes minimalist model
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2009/11/12
Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the...
Earthquake forecasting and its verification
Earthquake forecasting verification
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2009/11/11
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake risk....