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In this paper, we approach the variance changepoints detection problem from a multiple testing setting. After proving that the standard Step-Up and Step-Down procedures are inadmissible for the standa...
This paper introduces an extension of minimum variance beamforming, also known as Capon's method, that explicitly takes into account variation or uncertainty in the assumed array response. Sources of ...
Derandomizing and Rerandomizing Variance Estimators     Derandomizing  Rerandomizing  Variance Estimators       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2015/7/8
This technical report is meant to accompany the paper [7] and should be read in conjuction with that work. It describes several concepts which were alluded to in [7] but not elaborated on. We give al...
Derandomizing Variance Estimators     Derandomizing  Variance Estimators       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2015/7/8
One may consider a discrete-event simulation as a Markov chain evolving on a suitably rich state space. One way that regenerative cycles may be constructed for general state-space Markov chains is to ...
“Knowledge of either analytical or numerical approximations should enable more efficient simulation estimators to be constructed.” This principle seems intuitively plausible and certainly attractive, ...
The variance minimization (VM) and cross-entropy (CE) methods are two versatile adaptive importance sampling procedures that have been successfully applied to a wide variety of difficult rare-event es...
We consider the use of importance sampling to compute expectations of functionals of Markov processes. For a class of expectations that can be characterized as positive solutions to a linear system, w...
Stein operators are differential operators which arise within the so-called Stein's method for stochastic approximation. We propose a new mechanism for constructing such operators for arbitrary (conti...
This article presents a functional Analysis of Variance model that explicitly incorporates phase variability through a time-warping component, allowing for a unified and parsimonious approach to estim...
Variance estimation for Brier Score decomposition     Variance estimation  Brier Score decomposition       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2013/4/28
The Brier Score is a widely-used criterion to assess the quality of probabilistic predictions of binary events. The expectation value of the Brier Score can be decomposed into the sum of three compone...
Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variabilit...
Non-stationarity of the event rate is a persistent problem in modeling time series of events, such as neuronal spike trains. Motivated by a variety of patterns in neurophysiological spike train record...
For fixed size sampling designs with high entropy it is well known that the variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator can be approximated by the H\'ajek formula. The interest of this asymptotic varia...
We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, t...
Residual variance and the signal-to-noise ratio are important quantities in many statistical models and model fitting procedures. They play an important role in regression diagnostics, in determining ...

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