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This paper studies the change point problem for a general parametric, univariate or multivariate family of distributions.
The paper considers a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but potentially different conditional probabilities.
This paper addresses the estimation of the nonparametric conditional moment restricted model that involves an infinite dimensional parameter g0. We estimate it in a quasi-Bayesian way based on the l...
The paper considers general multiplicative models for complete and incomplete contingency tables that generalize log-linear and several other models and are entirely coordinate free. Sufficient condit...
Bayesian model comparison requires the specification of a prior distribution on the parameter space of each candidate model. In this connection two concerns arise: on the one hand the elicitation task...
Modelling spatio-temporal processes has become an important issue in current research. Since Gaussian processes are essentially determined by their second order structure, broad classes of covariance ...
Models with multiple change points are used in many fields; however, the theoretical properties of maximum likelihood estimators of such models have received relatively little attention. The goal of t...
We derive standard imsets for undirected graphical models and chain graphical models. Standard imsets for undirected graphical models are described in terms of minimal triangulations for maximal prime...
Genetic Genealogical Models in Rare Event Analysis     Genetic Genealogical Models  Event Analysis       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2009/6/12
Genetic Genealogical Models in Rare Event Analysis.
Ruin models with investment income     Ruin probability  Risk theory  Compounding assets       font style='font-size:12px;'> 2009/5/18
This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integ...
The free energy of quenched disordered systems is bounded above by the free energy of the corresponding annealed system. This bound may be improved by applying the annealing procedure, which is just J...
In a forest-fire model, each site of the square lattice is either vacant or occupied by a tree. Vacant sites get occupied according to independent rate 1 Poisson processes. Independently at each site ...
We consider a first-passage percolation (FPP) model on a Delaunay triangulation D of the plane. In this model each edge e of D is independently equipped with a nonnegative random variable, with distri...

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