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Consistent Factor Estimation in Dynamic Factor Models with Structural Instability
Factor Estimation Dynamic Factor Models Structural Instability
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2014/3/18
This paper considers the estimation of approximate dynamic factor models when there is temporal instability in the factor loadings. We characterize the type and magnitude of instabilities under which ...
A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination
Combination forecasts principal component regression James-Stein estimation
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2014/3/18
A panel of ex-ante forecasts of a single time series is modeled as a dynamic factor model, where the conditional expectation is the single unobserved factor. When applied to out-of-sample forecasting,...
ALTERNATIVE ALGORITHMS FOR THE ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC FACTOR, MIMIC AND VARYING COEFFICIENT REGRESSION MODELS
Alternative AlgorithmsEstimation of Dynamic MIMICFactorTime Varying Coefficient Regression Models
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2014/3/18
This paper provides a general approach to the formulation and estimation of dynamic unobserved component models. After introducing the general model, two methods for estimating ...